Clinical predictors of recurrence site after hepatectomy for metastatic colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Surgical resection of hepatic colorectal metastasis may produce long-term survival and cure; however, a significant proportion of patients will have intrahepatic and/or extrahepatic recurrence with a poor prognosis. The aim of this study was to define clinical predictors of recurrence site after hepatectomy in terms of stratifying patients for adequate adjuvant trials to improve the prognosis. METHODOLOGY: Clinical, pathologic, and outcome data for 70 consecutive patients undergoing hepatectomy for colorectal metastasis isolated to the liver were reviewed retrospectively, and all data were analyzed by the logistic multivariate regression model. RESULTS: Recurrence in the remnant liver was seen in 60% of patients, and recurrence in the lung was found in 34% of patients. Number of liver tumors was the only significant and independent predictor of recurrence in the remnant liver (P = 0.048). All patients with three or more tumors experienced recurrence. Location of liver tumors lying adjacent to the hepatic vein, which was confirmed by preoperative imaging techniques, was the only significant and independent predictor of recurrence in the lung (P = 0.020). CONCLUSIONS: Number and location of liver tumors would be the significant and independent clinical predictors of recurrence site after hepatectomy for metastatic colorectal cancer. This might be useful for justification and selection of effective adjuvant trials after surgery.